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Old 05-09-2007, 08:53 AM   #103 (permalink)
CheFJ
Banned
 
Join Date: Dec 2006
Member Number: 8481
Posts: 940
Re: Ask the Bellydoc

Quote:
BellyDoc previously said: View Post
OK... here's one for the nerdophiles.

It's one of my all time faves.

You're on a TV game show. Your host shows you three doors. The game is called "Goat or GOLD"...

Behind 2 of the three doors are goats. 1 door hides a huge pile of gold.

Your job - just to be clear about it (I don't know what kind of goat loving freaks might be reading this so I have to specify) is to obtain the gold.

You're asked to pick a door, and you do.

Before opening it, your host goes to one of the two doors that you DIDN'T pick and opens it, showing you a goat.

"Now," he says, "you have to make a choice. Do you stick with the door you already chose, or do you want to change your mind?"

You can either go with your original choice, or you can choose the remaining door before he opens it and shows you what you'll get as your prize.

This leads to the following question.

Given the parameters of this scenario, what is a better guessing strategy: to stick or to switch?

Please... respond with not only your conclusion, but the reasoning behind it.

I'll private message people who answer correctly for the following 24 hours and then tomorrow night, I'll post my answer. There is no prize other than acknowledgement here that you answered in a manner noteworthy in the eyes of a nerdy guy recently compared (even if only by reference to the imaginary voice in somenone's head) to Carl Sagan.
I would love to answer but I actually saw this yesterday (or the day before) on another site...poop. I would love to look like a brainiac, but no...I'm too honest.
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