Quote:
firemedic previously said:
I read somewhere that if we began domestic drilling we would be looking at oil being less than $60 a barrel. If this is the case then where's the debate? The environment?! What do we save first: the environment or the economy?
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Although anything is possible - and I try to keep an open mind in such discussions - it is highly improbable that domestic oil production will lower prices to the range you stated
It's true that there are vast reserves of crude and shale within North America and immediately offshore. However, that crude and shale has a very low EROEI compared to the cheap oil from the Mid East, Africa, and South America.
As an example, the Tar Sands in Alberta, Canada, is remarkably expensive to extract. During the 1980's-1990's when oil was under $20 a barrel, the Tar Sands was nothing more than a curiosity and was considered a tax-grab boondoogle. Billions of Canadian taxpayer dollars was sunk into the Tar Sands project, and only in the last 2 years has it gone to break-even and now slight profitability
Another example is the Hibernia system located in the Terra Nova field, near the Grand Banks of Newfoundland. Despite only "moderate" ocean depths in that area - under 300 ft - the depth to oil and logistical investment requires a minimum oil price of almost $70/barrel to break even.
A Crown Corporation - Hibernia Management Development Company - was required to operate Hibernia, as the massive captial cost meant that many potential partners decided to bail out. So for most of the Hibernia pumping history, it operated at a steep taxpayer-funded loss. It's possible that with the recent rise in oil prices, the remainder of the Terra Nova field will break-even and have a slight overall profit
ANWR presents us with similar challenges, which must be fully understood. With current and projected oil prices, it makes sense to have AMWR as a standby and a contribution to total reserves
Although I fully support exploitation of our natural resources, I do so for long-term stability. There will be little if any cost savings, as the vast majority of this oil is locked in very tight geological strata, which in part explains the difference between inplace oil and recoverable oil